Tax incentives and housing renovation: evidence from France
This paper investigates the impact of the Denormandie tax incentive, introduced in
2019 to promote the renovation of dilapidated housing in medium-sized French mu-
nicipalities. The study employs a spatial difference-in-differences framework, ex-
ploiting geographic discontinuities at municipal boundaries induced by the policy
to identify causal effects. The analysis focuses on areas within a 1–5 kilometer
range of the policy boundary to ensure robust identification while addressing po-
tential spillover effects from neighboring untreated zones. The findings reveal a 19%
increase in building permits and a 32.3% rise in renovated rental units within the
treated zones. Additionally, vacant housing sales increased by 18%, reflecting the
reintegration of underutilized properties into the active housing market. These im-
pacts were resilient to displacement effects and robust to different distance specifi-
cations. Furthermore, the policy induced a temporary 2% decline in older housing
prices, which dissipated within two years as the market adjusted. This study high-
lights the effectiveness of renovation-focused tax incentives in addressing housing
market inefficiencies and fostering urban revitalization. The findings offer action-
able insights for policymakers seeking to balance housing affordability with urban
regeneration objectives.
JEL Codes: R31, R38, C23, H71.
Keywords: Public Policy, Housing Price, Difference-in-Differences, Dynamic Treat-
ment Effects.