The Market Measure of Carbon Risk and its Impact on the Minimum Variance Portfolio

Théo Roncalli & Théo Le Guenedal & Frédéric Lepetit & Thierry Roncalli & Takaya Sekine

 

Like environment, social, and governance investing, climate change is an important concern for asset managers and owners and a new challenge for portfolio construction. Until now, investors have mainly measured carbon risk using fundamental approaches, such as with carbon intensity metrics. Nevertheless, it has not been proven that asset prices are directly affected by these fundamental-based measures. In this article, the authors focus on another approach, which consists of measuring the sensitivity of stock prices with respect to a carbon risk factor. In the authors’ opinion, carbon betas are market-based measures that are complementary to carbon intensities or fundamental-based measures when managing investment portfolios; carbon betas may be viewed as an extension or forward-looking measure of the current carbon footprint. In particular, they show how this new metric can be used to build minimum variance strategies and how it affects portfolio construction.