Book Chapter
Portfolio Construction with Climate Risk Measures
Because of the 2015 Paris Agreement, the development of ESG investing and the
emergence of net zero emission policies, climate risk is certainly the most important
topic and challenge for asset owners and managers now and will remain so over the next
five years. It considerably changes portfolio allocation and the investment framework
of both passive and active investors. The goal of this paper is to conduct a survey of the
various climate risk measures that are available in the asset management industry and
the practices of portfolio construction that use these metrics. Therefore, the first part
of this paper lists the different climate risk metrics — e.g., carbon footprint, carbon
transition pathway, carbon transition and physical risks. The second part is dedicated
to portfolio optimization, in particular portfolio decarbonization and portfolio align-
ment (Paris-based benchmarks and net zero carbon objective). Among the different
findings, two are of great importance for investors. First, portfolio decarbonization is
more difficult when we include scope 3 carbon emissions. Indeed, optimizing using the
sum of scopes 1, 2 and 3 emissions leads to a portfolio with more tracking error risk
than using direct plus first tier indirect carbon emissions. Second, portfolio alignment
is more complex than portfolio decarbonization. Since aligning portfolios with scope
3 is becoming the standard approach to climate portfolio construction, the impact on
portfolio management may be substantial, and the divergence between carbon investing
and traditional investing will increase.
Keywords: Climate change, risk measure, carbon emissions, reduction scenario, carbon tra-
jectory, net zero emission, optimized portfolio, decarbonization, portfolio alignment, index
portfolio.
JEL classification: C61, G11, Q54.